All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

Southwestern Gulf of America: A surface trough of low pressure has developed along the coast of Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of America.

Formation chance · 48 hours
10%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
50%Medium

What this means

Southwestern Gulf of America: A surface trough of low pressure has developed along the coast of Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of America. Although environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive, gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form by the second half of this week while it initially drifts eastward before turning northward.

Official resources

Last updated 10/5/2026, 6:15:05 AM · Latest advisory 10/5/2026, 5:08:54 AM