All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week.

Formation chance · 48 hours
90%High
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream is scheduled to sample the environment over the Gulf later today and an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow.

Official resources

Last updated 10/6/2026, 1:30:05 PM · Latest advisory 10/6/2026, 11:31:21 AM