All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance
Disturbance 1
Western East Pacific: A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Formation chance · 48 hours
10%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
60%Medium
What this means
Western East Pacific: A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form this weekend as the system moves westward at around 10 mph.
Official resources
Last updated 9/17/2026, 10:30:01 AM · Latest advisory 9/17/2026, 5:10:30 AM
