All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance
Disturbance 1
Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is showing signs of organization.
Formation chance · 48 hours
40%Medium
Formation chance · 7 days
80%High
What this means
Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week as it moves westward at at 10 to 15 mph across the western part of the East Pacific.
Official resources
Last updated 9/17/2026, 8:00:02 PM · Latest advisory 9/17/2026, 5:53:52 PM
