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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern East Pacific are associated with a tropical wave.

Formation chance · 48 hours
20%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
80%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern East Pacific are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form well south of southern Mexico by the middle or latter half of next week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.

Official resources

Last updated 10/11/2026, 7:15:09 AM · Latest advisory 10/11/2026, 5:51:37 AM