All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance
Disturbance 1
South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern East Pacific are associated with a tropical wave.
Formation chance · 48 hours
20%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
80%High
What this means
South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern East Pacific are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form well south of southern Mexico by the middle or latter half of next week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
Official resources
Last updated 10/11/2026, 7:15:09 AM · Latest advisory 10/11/2026, 5:51:37 AM
