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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

Western East Pacific: A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

Formation chance · 48 hours
20%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
70%High

What this means

Western East Pacific: A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the western part of the East Pacific.

Official resources

Last updated 9/17/2026, 1:45:03 PM · Latest advisory 9/17/2026, 11:54:37 AM