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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern Mexico by the end of the week.

Formation chance · 48 hours
Formation chance · 7 days
50%Medium

What this means

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern Mexico by the end of the week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development by the weekend, and this system could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves slowly northwestward or northward.

Official resources

Last updated 9/16/2026, 3:15:04 AM · Latest advisory 9/15/2026, 11:10:09 PM