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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Formation chance · 48 hours
50%Medium
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of the southern to southwestern coast of Mexico.

Official resources

Last updated 10/5/2026, 2:15:05 PM · Latest advisory 10/5/2026, 11:34:06 AM