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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 3

South of Southwestern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are located several hundred miles south-southwest of southwestern Mexico.

Formation chance · 48 hours
Formation chance · 7 days
80%High

What this means

South of Southwestern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are located several hundred miles south-southwest of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves gradually northwestward and then northward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Official resources

Last updated 9/18/2026, 8:15:02 AM · Latest advisory 9/18/2026, 5:54:44 AM