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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have persisted with an area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south of Guatemala.

Formation chance · 48 hours
40%Medium
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have persisted with an area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south of Guatemala. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form around the middle of this week as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph, well to the south of the coast of southern Mexico.

Official resources

Last updated 10/19/2026, 10:00:04 AM · Latest advisory 10/19/2026, 5:09:04 AM