All systems
🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located just to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

Formation chance · 48 hours
30%Low
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located just to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of the southern to southwestern coast of Mexico.

Official resources

Last updated 10/5/2026, 2:00:07 AM · Latest advisory 10/4/2026, 11:26:56 PM