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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico: A tropical wave over the far eastern part of the east Pacific is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Formation chance · 48 hours
40%Medium
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico: A tropical wave over the far eastern part of the east Pacific is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form well south of southern Mexico by the middle or latter half of the week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.

Official resources

Last updated 10/12/2026, 1:30:05 AM · Latest advisory 10/11/2026, 11:20:44 PM