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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south or southwest of the coast of Mexico by early next week.

Formation chance · 48 hours
—
Formation chance · 7 days
70%High

What this means

South of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south or southwest of the coast of Mexico by early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter half of next week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.

Official resources

Last updated 10/10/2026, 6:45:10 PM · Latest advisory 10/10/2026, 5:35:24 PM