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🟡 Tropical Disturbance

Disturbance 1

South of Southern Mexico (92E): A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Formation chance · 48 hours
80%High
Formation chance · 7 days
90%High

What this means

South of Southern Mexico (92E): A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

Official resources

Last updated 10/6/2026, 6:30:05 AM · Latest advisory 10/6/2026, 5:13:43 AM